EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of · Energy sector.

Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 72% probability that EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $177.52 from 61 analyst targets.

ML Forecast (90-day)

72% bullish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days

Q-Score

45/100

Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$177.52

61 targets · $175.00–$178.50

Next Earnings

2026-10-30

in 47 days — expect volatility

Why the model says this

The ML model scores XOM on 54 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bullish call:

Pushing the forecast up

  • Momentum63d X Sma200 Distance +0.194
  • Sector Momentum Rank +0.189
  • Fmp Insider Net Buying +0.102
  • Market Momentum Rank +0.079
  • News Sentiment +0.057

Pushing it down

  • Asset Growth Rate -0.010
  • Altman ZScore -0.001
  • Housing Starts Roc -0.000

What Wall Street is saying about XOM

Across 61 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-04), the consensus for EXXON MOBIL CORP is $177.52 — spanning $175.00 on the low end to $178.50 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).

Recent rating changes

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

SignalWindowHit rateAvg returnObservations
Fundamental Undervalue7d51.1%+0.50%9,340
Vc Intelligence7d50.0%+0.72%18
Volume Spike7d49.1%+0.23%6,275
Sector Momentum7d48.5%+0.02%16,414

See the full live track record → · How the model works

⚠ EXXON MOBIL CORP reports earnings on 2026-10-30 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.

Peers & alternatives

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XOM forecast FAQ

What is the XOM stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 72% probability that EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $177.52 from 61 analyst targets.

Is XOM stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates XOM 45/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 90-day ML signal is bullish at 72% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for XOM?

The consensus analyst price target for EXXON MOBIL CORP is $177.52, with a range of $175.00 to $178.50 across 61 recent analyst targets.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does XOM report earnings?

EXXON MOBIL CORP is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-30. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.

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Additional resources

Track record · Methodology · All forecasts · XOM deep dive

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

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