Data as of · CVX trades at $228.23 (-1.63% today) · Energy sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model gives CHEVRON CORP (CVX) a score of 0.75 for beating the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — leans outperform. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $225.70 from 5 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (90-day)
75%
Model score vs the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — leans outperform
Q-Score
55/100
Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$225.70
5 targets · $211.00–$236.00 · implied -1.1%
EPS Estimate
$4.13
Next period consensus (2026-12-31) · 17 analysts · revenue $57.6B
Next Earnings
2026-10-30
in 2 days — expect volatility
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The ML model scores CVX on 60 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of the current model reading (score 0.75, leans outperform):
Across 5 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-09-21), the consensus for CHEVRON CORP is $225.70 — spanning $211.00 on the low end to $236.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus (fiscal period 2026-12-31): EPS $4.13 (range $2.90–$5.63) on revenue of $57.6B, from 17 analysts.
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 50.6% | +0.45% | 9,620 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 48.8% | +0.19% | 6,449 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.6% | +0.03% | 16,414 |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 7d | 46.8% | -0.17% | 8,985 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ CHEVRON CORP reports earnings on 2026-10-30 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model gives CHEVRON CORP (CVX) a score of 0.75 for beating the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — leans outperform. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $225.70 from 5 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates CVX 55/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 90-day ML model score is 0.75 (leans outperform). StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for CHEVRON CORP is $225.70, with a range of $211.00 to $236.00 across 5 recent analyst targets — an implied -1.1% move from the current price of $228.23.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 50.6% of 9,620 observations (avg return +0.45%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
CHEVRON CORP is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-30. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.
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