Data as of · Financials sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 38% probability that MORGAN STANLEY (MS) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $237.92 from 6 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (90-day)
38% bearish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days
Q-Score
35/100
Grade D — "Sell" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$237.92
6 targets · $231.25–$239.43
Next Earnings
2026-10-14
in 31 days — expect volatility
The ML model scores MS on 49 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:
Across 6 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-08-18), the consensus for MORGAN STANLEY is $237.92 — spanning $231.25 on the low end to $239.43 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2029-12-31).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.1% | +0.50% | 9,340 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.72% | 18 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.1% | +0.23% | 6,275 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.5% | +0.02% | 16,414 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ MORGAN STANLEY reports earnings on 2026-10-14 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model estimates a 38% probability that MORGAN STANLEY (MS) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $237.92 from 6 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates MS 35/100 (grade D, "Sell") and the 90-day ML signal is bearish at 38% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for MORGAN STANLEY is $237.92, with a range of $231.25 to $239.43 across 6 recent analyst targets.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
MORGAN STANLEY is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-14. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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