Data as of · COP trades at $147.96 (-2.25% today) · Energy sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model gives CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) a score of 0.48 for beating the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — neutral — no clear lean. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $152.33 from 3 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (30-day)
48%
Model score vs the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — neutral — no clear lean
Q-Score
64/100
Grade B — "Buy" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$152.33
3 targets · $148.00–$161.00 · implied +3.0%
EPS Estimate
$2.50
Next period consensus (2026-12-31) · 15 analysts · revenue $18.3B
Next Earnings
2026-11-05
in 8 days — expect volatility
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The ML model scores COP on 61 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of the current model reading (score 0.48, neutral — no clear lean):
Across 3 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-08-16), the consensus for CONOCOPHILLIPS is $152.33 — spanning $148.00 on the low end to $161.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus (fiscal period 2026-12-31): EPS $2.50 (range $1.91–$3.18) on revenue of $18.3B, from 15 analysts.
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 50.6% | +0.45% | 9,620 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 48.8% | +0.19% | 6,449 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.6% | +0.03% | 16,414 |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 7d | 46.8% | -0.17% | 8,985 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ CONOCOPHILLIPS reports earnings on 2026-11-05 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model gives CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) a score of 0.48 for beating the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — neutral — no clear lean. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $152.33 from 3 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates COP 64/100 (grade B, "Buy") and the 30-day ML model score is 0.48 (neutral — no clear lean). StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for CONOCOPHILLIPS is $152.33, with a range of $148.00 to $161.00 across 3 recent analyst targets — an implied +3.0% move from the current price of $147.96.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 50.6% of 9,620 observations (avg return +0.45%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
CONOCOPHILLIPS is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-11-05. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.
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