Data as of · Health Care sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 38% probability that ELI LILLY (LLY) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $1,314.90 from 7 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (30-day)
38% bearish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days
Q-Score
52/100
Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$1,314.90
7 targets · $1,239.00–$1,387.00
Next Earnings
2026-10-29
in 46 days — expect volatility
The ML model scores LLY on 60 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:
Across 7 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-08-22), the consensus for ELI LILLY is $1,314.90 — spanning $1,239.00 on the low end to $1,387.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.1% | +0.50% | 9,340 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.72% | 18 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.1% | +0.23% | 6,275 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.5% | +0.02% | 16,414 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ ELI LILLY reports earnings on 2026-10-29 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model estimates a 38% probability that ELI LILLY (LLY) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $1,314.90 from 7 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates LLY 52/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 30-day ML signal is bearish at 38% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for ELI LILLY is $1,314.90, with a range of $1,239.00 to $1,387.00 across 7 recent analyst targets.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
ELI LILLY is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-29. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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