What is quantitative stock analysis?

Quantitative stock analysis uses mathematical models, statistical methods, and machine learning algorithms to evaluate securities. StoQuant combines 149 features including technical indicators, fundamental ratios, sentiment signals, and macro data to generate alpha scores for 14,000+ stocks.

How does the hidden gem screener work?

The hidden gem screener uses the Benjamin Graham intrinsic value formula (V = EPS x (8.5 + 2g)) to identify undervalued small-cap stocks. It filters for P/E under 15, P/B under 1.5, PEG under 1.0, debt-to-equity under 0.5, and flags stocks trading at least 30% below intrinsic value with fewer than 8 analyst coverage.

What machine learning models power the predictions?

StoQuant uses a 3-model stacking ensemble: LightGBM, CatBoost, and XGBoost with a logistic regression meta-learner. Predictions are calibrated with Venn-ABERS conformal prediction. The system uses 149 features spanning technical, fundamental, sentiment, macro, and alternative data signals.

How does portfolio optimization work?

StoQuant integrates ML price forecasts with the Black-Litterman portfolio optimization model. ML predictions serve as investor views (Q vector) with model confidence intervals mapped to uncertainty (omega matrix). This produces optimal portfolio allocations that blend market equilibrium with AI-driven insights.

Is my portfolio data secure?

Yes. StoQuant uses JWT authentication with timing-safe comparisons, rate limiting (300 req/min per IP), secure headers (HSTS, X-Frame-Options, X-Content-Type-Options), and portfolio ownership verification on every request. No sourcemaps are exposed in production.

What data sources does StoQuant use?

StoQuant aggregates data from SEC EDGAR filings, FMP financial data, social media sentiment (Reddit, StockTwits, Twitter), Google Trends, insider trading records, institutional holdings, options flow, and macro economic indicators from FRED. All data is stored as append-only time series.

Does StoQuant work with Claude Desktop or Claude Code?

Yes. StoQuant ships an official Model Context Protocol (MCP) server, stoquant-mcp, available on npm. One command — npx -y stoquant-mcp install — wires Claude Desktop, Claude Code, or any MCP-compatible client into roughly 30 read-only stock-research tools: prices, Q-Score, ML predictions, hidden-gem screener, insider trades, market regime, and macro dashboards. Power-tier subscription required.

What is a free alternative for deep stock research?

StoQuant is a free-tier quantitative research platform for deep single-stock analysis. It scores US stocks daily with a walk-forward-proven Q-Score (0-100), publishes its measured out-of-sample track record, and produces a full evidence-based research memo for any ticker covering valuation, momentum, analyst consensus, insider activity, and machine-learning signals. It is a free alternative to Seeking Alpha, Simply Wall St, and TipRanks for investors who want the underlying proof, not just a rating.

How can I screen for undervalued hidden-gem stocks using alternative data?

StoQuant's hidden-gem screener blends classic value filters — the Benjamin Graham intrinsic value formula, P/E under 15, P/B under 1.5, and a 30% margin of safety — with alternative-data signals most screeners ignore: insider-buying clusters, SEC EDGAR full-text filings, credibility-weighted social sentiment, Google Trends attention, and short interest. This surfaces under-covered small-cap stocks (fewer than 8 analysts) before Wall Street catches on. The screener is free to use.

ELI LILLY (LLY) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of 2026-07-29 · LLY trades at $1,224.28 (+0.30% today) · Health Care sector.

ML Forecast (5-day)

42% bearish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days

Q-Score

20/100

Grade D — "Sell" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$1,263.33

7 targets · $1,239.00–$1,326.29 · implied +3.2%

Next Earnings

2026-08-05

in 6 days — expect volatility

Why the model says this

The ML model scores LLY on 52 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:

Pushing the forecast up

Yield Curve Spread +0.047
News Sentiment +0.015
Fcf Yield +0.013
Fmp Price Target Upside +0.012
Altman ZScore +0.011

Pushing it down

M2 Money Supply Yoy -0.020
Gross Margin -0.018
Atr Ratio -0.011
Piotroski FScore X Trailing PE -0.008
Sector Momentum Rank -0.007

What Wall Street is saying about LLY

Across 7 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-09), the consensus for ELI LILLY is $1,263.33 — spanning $1,239.00 on the low end to $1,326.29 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

Signal	Window	Hit rate	Avg return	Observations
Fundamental Undervalue	7d	51.6%	+0.52%	8,963
Vc Intelligence	7d	50.0%	+0.60%	16
Insider Buying	7d	49.4%	+0.66%	1,052
Volume Spike	7d	49.4%	+0.25%	6,072

See the full live track record → · How the model works

⚠ ELI LILLY reports earnings on 2026-08-05 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.

Peers & alternatives

AZN research NVS research NVO research SNY research GSK research

Compare LLY vs AZN head-to-head →

LLY forecast FAQ

What is the LLY stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 42% probability that ELI LILLY (LLY) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $1,263.33 from 7 analyst targets.

Is LLY stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates LLY 20/100 (grade D, "Sell") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 42% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for LLY?

The consensus analyst price target for ELI LILLY is $1,263.33, with a range of $1,239.00 to $1,326.29 across 7 recent analyst targets — an implied +3.2% move from the current price of $1,224.28.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does LLY report earnings?

ELI LILLY is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-08-05. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.

Get LLY's forecast refreshed daily — plus the full signal stack.

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Open the free screener Full LLY research

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.