Data as of · AMAT trades at $395.93 (+2.15% today) · Information Technology sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model gives APPLIED MATERIAL INC (AMAT) a score of 0.46 for beating the S&P 500 over the forecast period — neutral — no clear lean. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $588.26 from 100 analyst targets.
ML Forecast
46%
Model score vs the S&P 500 over the forecast period — neutral — no clear lean
Q-Score
25/100
Grade F — "Strong Sell" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$588.26
100 targets · $563.00–$695.00 · implied +48.6%
Next Earnings
2026-11-12
in 15 days — expect volatility
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The ML model scores AMAT on 59 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of the current model reading (score 0.46, neutral — no clear lean):
Across 100 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-10-28), the consensus for APPLIED MATERIAL INC is $588.26 — spanning $563.00 on the low end to $695.00 on the high end.
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 50.6% | +0.45% | 9,620 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 48.8% | +0.19% | 6,449 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.6% | +0.03% | 16,414 |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 7d | 46.8% | -0.17% | 8,985 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ APPLIED MATERIAL INC reports earnings on 2026-11-12 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model gives APPLIED MATERIAL INC (AMAT) a score of 0.46 for beating the S&P 500 over the forecast period — neutral — no clear lean. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $588.26 from 100 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates AMAT 25/100 (grade F, "Strong Sell") and the ML model score is 0.46 (neutral — no clear lean). StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for APPLIED MATERIAL INC is $588.26, with a range of $563.00 to $695.00 across 100 recent analyst targets — an implied +48.6% move from the current price of $395.93.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 50.6% of 9,620 observations (avg return +0.45%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
APPLIED MATERIAL INC is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-11-12. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.
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