Data as of · Information Technology sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 51% probability that MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $545.84 from 4 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (30-day)
51% bullish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days
Q-Score
48/100
Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$545.84
4 targets · $480.00–$567.79
Next Earnings
2026-10-28
in 45 days — expect volatility
The ML model scores MSFT on 62 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bullish call:
Across 4 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-08-18), the consensus for MICROSOFT CORP is $545.84 — spanning $480.00 on the low end to $567.79 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-06-30).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.1% | +0.50% | 9,340 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.72% | 18 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.1% | +0.23% | 6,275 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.5% | +0.02% | 16,414 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ MICROSOFT CORP reports earnings on 2026-10-28 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model estimates a 51% probability that MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $545.84 from 4 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates MSFT 48/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 30-day ML signal is bullish at 51% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for MICROSOFT CORP is $545.84, with a range of $480.00 to $567.79 across 4 recent analyst targets.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
MICROSOFT CORP is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-28. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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