UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of · Industrials sector.

Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 74% probability that UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $317.56 from 8 analyst targets.

ML Forecast (90-day)

74% bullish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days

Q-Score

41/100

Grade D — "Sell" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$317.56

8 targets · $294.00–$337.00

Next Earnings

2026-10-22

in 39 days — expect volatility

Why the model says this

The ML model scores UNP on 56 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bullish call:

Pushing the forecast up

  • Sector Momentum Rank +0.195
  • News Sentiment +0.158
  • Fmp Insider Net Buying +0.141
  • Industry Relative Momentum +0.065
  • Momentum63d +0.058

What Wall Street is saying about UNP

Across 8 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-09-02), the consensus for UNION PACIFIC CORP is $317.56 — spanning $294.00 on the low end to $337.00 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

SignalWindowHit rateAvg returnObservations
Fundamental Undervalue7d51.1%+0.50%9,340
Vc Intelligence7d50.0%+0.72%18
Volume Spike7d49.1%+0.23%6,275
Sector Momentum7d48.5%+0.02%16,414

See the full live track record → · How the model works

⚠ UNION PACIFIC CORP reports earnings on 2026-10-22 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.

Peers & alternatives

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UNP forecast FAQ

What is the UNP stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 74% probability that UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 90 trading days — a bullish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $317.56 from 8 analyst targets.

Is UNP stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates UNP 41/100 (grade D, "Sell") and the 90-day ML signal is bullish at 74% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for UNP?

The consensus analyst price target for UNION PACIFIC CORP is $317.56, with a range of $294.00 to $337.00 across 8 recent analyst targets.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does UNP report earnings?

UNION PACIFIC CORP is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-22. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.

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Additional resources

Track record · Methodology · All forecasts · UNP deep dive

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.

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