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PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of · PYPL trades at $58.32 (+4.01% today) · Financials sector.

ML Forecast (5-day)

47% bearish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days

Q-Score

63/100

Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$47.25

4 targets · $44.00–$51.00 · implied -19.0%

Why the model says this

The ML model scores PYPL on 51 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:

Pushing the forecast up

  • Momentum63d X Sma200 Distance +0.033
  • Asset Growth Rate +0.029
  • Realized Vol21d +0.025
  • Fcf Yield +0.021
  • Operating Margin +0.018

Pushing it down

  • Industry Rel Momentum63d -0.006
  • Rsi14 -0.005
  • Fed Funds Rate -0.004
  • M2 Money Supply Yoy -0.003
  • Revenue Surprise Percent -0.003

What Wall Street is saying about PYPL

Across 4 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-09), the consensus for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC is $47.25 — spanning $44.00 on the low end to $51.00 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).

Recent rating changes

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

SignalWindowHit rateAvg returnObservations
Fundamental Undervalue7d51.6%+0.52%8,963
Vc Intelligence7d50.0%+0.60%16
Insider Buying7d49.4%+0.66%1,052
Volume Spike7d49.4%+0.25%6,072

See the full live track record → · How the model works

Peers & alternatives

HSBC researchRY researchMUFG researchTD researchSAN research

Compare PYPL vs HSBC head-to-head →

PYPL forecast FAQ

What is the PYPL stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 47% probability that PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $47.25 from 4 analyst targets.

Is PYPL stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates PYPL 63/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 47% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for PYPL?

The consensus analyst price target for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC is $47.25, with a range of $44.00 to $51.00 across 4 recent analyst targets — an implied -19.0% move from the current price of $58.32.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does PYPL report earnings?

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC has no confirmed upcoming earnings date in StoQuant's data right now. Dates are confirmed by companies typically a few weeks ahead.

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.