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MEDTRONIC PLC (MDT) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of · MDT trades at $87.87 (+1.14% today) · Health Care sector.

ML Forecast (5-day)

46% bearish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days

Q-Score

38/100

Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$101.75

4 targets · $89.00–$111.50 · implied +15.8%

Next Earnings

2026-08-18

in 19 days — expect volatility

Why the model says this

The ML model scores MDT on 50 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:

Pushing the forecast up

  • Price Vs52w High +0.026
  • Asset Growth Rate +0.025
  • Industry Relative Momentum +0.024
  • Realized Vol21d +0.020
  • Accrual Ratio +0.018

Pushing it down

  • M2 Money Supply Yoy -0.012
  • News Sentiment -0.009
  • Nfci -0.008
  • Sector PEPercentile -0.003
  • Revenue Surprise Percent -0.003

What Wall Street is saying about MDT

Across 4 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-09), the consensus for MEDTRONIC PLC is $101.75 — spanning $89.00 on the low end to $111.50 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2031-04-24).

Recent rating changes

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

SignalWindowHit rateAvg returnObservations
Fundamental Undervalue7d51.6%+0.52%8,963
Vc Intelligence7d50.0%+0.60%16
Insider Buying7d49.4%+0.66%1,052
Volume Spike7d49.4%+0.25%6,072

See the full live track record → · How the model works

⚠ MEDTRONIC PLC reports earnings on 2026-08-18 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.

Peers & alternatives

AZN researchNVS researchNVO researchSNY researchGSK research

Compare MDT vs AZN head-to-head →

MDT forecast FAQ

What is the MDT stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 46% probability that MEDTRONIC PLC (MDT) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $101.75 from 4 analyst targets.

Is MDT stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates MDT 38/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 46% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for MDT?

The consensus analyst price target for MEDTRONIC PLC is $101.75, with a range of $89.00 to $111.50 across 4 recent analyst targets — an implied +15.8% move from the current price of $87.87.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does MDT report earnings?

MEDTRONIC PLC is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-08-18. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.