Data as of · IBM trades at $226.16 (-0.61% today) · Information Technology sector.
ML Forecast (5-day)
42% bearish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days
Q-Score
46/100
Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$303.56
5 targets · $267.00–$330.00 · implied +34.2%
The ML model scores IBM on 58 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:
Across 5 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-14), the consensus for INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CO is $303.56 — spanning $267.00 on the low end to $330.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.6% | +0.52% | 8,963 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.60% | 16 |
| Insider Buying | 7d | 49.4% | +0.66% | 1,052 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.4% | +0.25% | 6,072 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
Compare IBM vs TSM head-to-head →
StoQuant's ML model estimates a 42% probability that INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CO (IBM) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $303.56 from 5 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates IBM 46/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 42% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CO is $303.56, with a range of $267.00 to $330.00 across 5 recent analyst targets — an implied +34.2% move from the current price of $226.16.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CO has no confirmed upcoming earnings date in StoQuant's data right now. Dates are confirmed by companies typically a few weeks ahead.
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Open the free screener Full IBM researchForecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.