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HCA HEALTHCARE INC (HCA) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction

Data as of · HCA trades at $418.19 (+7.33% today) · Health Care sector.

ML Forecast (5-day)

45% bearish

Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days

Q-Score

38/100

Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals

Analyst Target

$488.67

5 targets · $413.00–$530.00 · implied +16.9%

Next Earnings

2026-10-23

in 85 days — expect volatility

Why the model says this

The ML model scores HCA on 53 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:

Pushing the forecast up

  • Asset Growth Rate +0.035
  • Momentum63d X Sma200 Distance +0.032
  • Industry Relative Momentum +0.018
  • Accrual Ratio +0.015
  • Amihud Illiquidity +0.013

Pushing it down

  • Gross Margin -0.026
  • Nfci -0.012
  • M2 Money Supply Yoy -0.009
  • Short Term Reversal -0.003
  • Revenue Surprise Percent -0.003

What Wall Street is saying about HCA

Across 5 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-14), the consensus for HCA HEALTHCARE INC is $488.67 — spanning $413.00 on the low end to $530.00 on the high end.

Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).

Recent rating changes

Track record — don't trust a forecast without one

StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:

SignalWindowHit rateAvg returnObservations
Fundamental Undervalue7d51.6%+0.52%8,963
Vc Intelligence7d50.0%+0.60%16
Insider Buying7d49.4%+0.66%1,052
Volume Spike7d49.4%+0.25%6,072

See the full live track record → · How the model works

⚠ HCA HEALTHCARE INC reports earnings on 2026-10-23 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.

Peers & alternatives

AZN researchNVS researchNVO researchSNY researchGSK research

Compare HCA vs AZN head-to-head →

HCA forecast FAQ

What is the HCA stock forecast?

StoQuant's ML model estimates a 45% probability that HCA HEALTHCARE INC (HCA) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $488.67 from 5 analyst targets.

Is HCA stock a buy or sell right now?

StoQuant's Q-Score rates HCA 38/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 45% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.

What is the analyst price target for HCA?

The consensus analyst price target for HCA HEALTHCARE INC is $488.67, with a range of $413.00 to $530.00 across 5 recent analyst targets — an implied +16.9% move from the current price of $418.19.

How accurate are StoQuant's stock forecasts?

Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.

When does HCA report earnings?

HCA HEALTHCARE INC is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-23. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.