Data as of · AXP trades at $317.94 (+1.61% today) · Financials sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model gives AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) a score of 0.44 for beating the S&P 500 over the forecast period — leans underperform. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $370.78 from 100 analyst targets.
ML Forecast
44%
Model score vs the S&P 500 over the forecast period — leans underperform
Q-Score
38/100
Grade D — "Sell" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$370.78
100 targets · $320.00–$384.00 · implied +16.6%
Next Earnings
2027-01-29
in 92 days — expect volatility
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The ML model scores AXP on 52 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of the current model reading (score 0.44, leans underperform):
Across 100 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-10-29), the consensus for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $370.78 — spanning $320.00 on the low end to $384.00 on the high end.
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 50.6% | +0.45% | 9,620 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 48.8% | +0.19% | 6,449 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.6% | +0.03% | 16,414 |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 7d | 46.8% | -0.17% | 8,985 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ AMERICAN EXPRESS reports earnings on 2027-01-29 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model gives AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) a score of 0.44 for beating the S&P 500 over the forecast period — leans underperform. The score is a model output, not a calibrated probability; the walk-forward track record is published at /proof and the model methodology at /methodology. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $370.78 from 100 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates AXP 38/100 (grade D, "Sell") and the ML model score is 0.44 (leans underperform). StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $370.78, with a range of $320.00 to $384.00 across 100 recent analyst targets — an implied +16.6% move from the current price of $317.94.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 50.6% of 9,620 observations (avg return +0.45%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
AMERICAN EXPRESS is scheduled to report earnings on 2027-01-29. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.
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