Data as of · AXP trades at $336.63 (+0.37% today) · Financials sector.
ML Forecast (5-day)
36% bearish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over 5 trading days
Q-Score
46/100
Grade C — "Hold" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$372.89
59 targets · $360.00–$390.00 · implied +10.8%
Next Earnings
2026-10-16
in 78 days — expect volatility
The ML model scores AXP on 59 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:
Across 59 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-07-29), the consensus for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $372.89 — spanning $360.00 on the low end to $390.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.6% | +0.52% | 8,963 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.60% | 16 |
| Insider Buying | 7d | 49.4% | +0.66% | 1,052 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.4% | +0.25% | 6,072 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ AMERICAN EXPRESS reports earnings on 2026-10-16 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
Compare AXP vs HSBC head-to-head →
StoQuant's ML model estimates a 36% probability that AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 5 trading days — a bearish short-term signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $372.89 from 59 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates AXP 46/100 (grade C, "Hold") and the 5-day ML signal is bearish at 36% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $372.89, with a range of $360.00 to $390.00 across 59 recent analyst targets — an implied +10.8% move from the current price of $336.63.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.6% of 8,963 observations (avg return +0.52%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
AMERICAN EXPRESS is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-16. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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Open the free screener Full AXP researchForecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not investment advice. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Methodology.