Data as of · Financials sector.
Forecast: StoQuant's ML model estimates a 41% probability that AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $367.94 from 100 analyst targets.
ML Forecast (30-day)
41% bearish
Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days
Q-Score
34/100
Grade D — "Sell" composite of 140+ signals
Analyst Target
$367.94
100 targets · $356.00–$384.00
Next Earnings
2026-10-16
in 33 days — expect volatility
The ML model scores AXP on 60 live features, trained on 5,328 labeled outcomes and walk-forward validated. Biggest drivers of today's bearish call:
Across 100 price targets published in the last 90 days (latest 2026-09-12), the consensus for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $367.94 — spanning $356.00 on the low end to $384.00 on the high end.
Next-period consensus: EPS n/a (as of 2030-12-31).
StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward accuracy, updated daily. Current hit rates across all scored signals:
| Signal | Window | Hit rate | Avg return | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental Undervalue | 7d | 51.1% | +0.50% | 9,340 |
| Vc Intelligence | 7d | 50.0% | +0.72% | 18 |
| Volume Spike | 7d | 49.1% | +0.23% | 6,275 |
| Sector Momentum | 7d | 48.5% | +0.02% | 16,414 |
See the full live track record → · How the model works
⚠ AMERICAN EXPRESS reports earnings on 2026-10-16 — expect elevated volatility and a forecast refresh right after the report.
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StoQuant's ML model estimates a 41% probability that AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) outperforms the S&P 500 over the next 30 trading days — a bearish signal. Wall Street's consensus 12-month price target is $367.94 from 100 analyst targets.
StoQuant's Q-Score rates AXP 34/100 (grade D, "Sell") and the 30-day ML signal is bearish at 41% probability. StoQuant publishes its full walk-forward track record at /proof — always check a forecaster's accuracy before acting.
The consensus analyst price target for AMERICAN EXPRESS is $367.94, with a range of $356.00 to $384.00 across 100 recent analyst targets.
Across StoQuant's walk-forward validated signal history, the fundamental undervalue signal hit its 7-day target in 51.1% of 9,340 observations (avg return +0.50%). Full methodology and live accuracy at /proof.
AMERICAN EXPRESS is scheduled to report earnings on 2026-10-16. Expect elevated forecast volatility around the report.
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