AI stock picks with a published track record

A 93-feature LightGBM + CatBoost + XGBoost ensemble with Venn-ABERS calibration. Out-of-sample only. AUC, hit rate, and quintile spread published daily on /proof.

Real ML, not a buzzword

Most "AI stock pick" services hide behind a black box. StoQuant publishes the ensemble (LightGBM + CatBoost + XGBoost), the meta-learner (logistic regression with Venn-ABERS conformal prediction), and the validation protocol (walk-forward out-of-sample with realistic transaction costs and slippage). The model files are versioned, the AUC is tracked, and the top-5 feature importances are visible on every prediction.

How it works

  1. Engineer 93 features per stock — Technical, fundamental, sentiment, macro, alt-data, options, forensic, and cross-sectional features — recomputed daily from append-only time series.
  2. Stack three boosted-tree models — LightGBM, CatBoost, and XGBoost each predict 30/60/90-day excess return probability. A logistic meta-learner blends them; Venn-ABERS calibrates the output.
  3. Walk forward, never peek — Train on a rolling window, predict on the next out-of-sample window. Real forward returns are stored append-only and matched to predictions for honest accuracy tracking.

Related on StoQuant

Understand the methodology: Q-Score Methodology (stoquant.com/learn/q-score-methodology) and Walk-Forward Validation (stoquant.com/learn/walk-forward-validation). See today's top picks at Today's Top Q-Score (stoquant.com/today/top-q-score). Compare against black-box services: StoQuant vs Tickeron (stoquant.com/compare/tickeron).

FAQ

How accurate are the AI stock picks?

Daily AUC and hit rate are published on /proof, broken down by horizon (30/60/90 days) and walk-forward window. Numbers move; the methodology does not.

What features does the model use?

Ninety-three engineered features across technical, fundamental, sentiment, macro, alt-data, options flow, forensic accounting, and cross-sectional groups. Full feature list on /methodology.

Is it really machine learning, not a rule-based screen?

Yes. A LightGBM + CatBoost + XGBoost stacking ensemble with logistic-regression meta-learner and Venn-ABERS calibration. Models are retrained on a walk-forward schedule, not hardcoded.

How is StoQuant different from other AI stock-pick services?

Open methodology, walk-forward out-of-sample validation, and a free daily Q-Score leaderboard. No paywalled commentary, no opinions, no black box.